Sabalenka Out, Underdogs Rise: 2026 Italian Open Delivers Early Shocks in Rome

Sabalenka will rise to WTA world No. 2 on Monday after the victory, equalling her career-high ranking.

Sabalenka Bows Out as Cirstea Delivers Statement Win at Italian Open

World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka’s bid for a maiden Italian Open title came to a sudden halt on Saturday, May 10, as the four-time Grand Slam champion fell 6-2, 3-6, 5-7 to Romania’s Sorana Cirstea in the third round at Foro Italico. The loss marks Sabalenka’s second consecutive early exit following her quarterfinal defeat in Madrid, raising questions about her form and fitness ahead of the French Open.

Sabalenka, who had dispatched Barbora Krejcikova in straight sets earlier in the week, struggled to maintain her level after a promising start. She raced to a 2-0 lead in the second set but saw the 36-year-old Cirstea, ranked No. 27, roar back with composed baseline play. Cirstea, who has announced she will retire at the end of the season, sealed the victory on her own terms and later called it “a match that I’m happy with.”

Injury Concerns Linger for the Belarusian

In her post-match press conference, Sabalenka revealed that a physical issue hampered her performance. “Felt like my body was limiting me from performing on the highest level,” she admitted. The 27-year-old clarified that the problem stemmed from her lower back and hip, restricting her rotation. “I’d say that probably it’s like my lower back, connected to the hip, which kind of like limiting me from the full rotation,” she explained.

Despite the setback, Sabalenka remained philosophical: “I guess we never lose; we only learn, so it’s okay.” She pointed to rest and recovery as the immediate plan. The loss extends a worrying trend for the world No. 1, who was also upset by Hailey Baptiste in Madrid just weeks ago, leaving her clay-court season in a fragile state with Roland Garros on the horizon.

Upstages and Home Favorites: Day Four Recap

While Sabalenka’s exit captured headlines, the men’s draw saw its own share of chaos during the second round on Saturday. Two top-five seeds were sent packing, as the underdog spirit took center stage at the Foro Italico.

Navone Claims First Top-10 Win

Argentine Mariano Navone authored the biggest result of his career by ousting fourth seed Felix Auger-Aliassime 7-6(4), 7-6(5). Auger-Aliassime appeared hampered by a leg issue in the second set, and Navone capitalized with steady play to secure his first Top 10 victory. The win hands the Canadian a disappointing exit from a tournament where he was considered a strong contender.

Basilashvili Stuns Shelton

Qualifier Nikoloz Basilashvili continued his resurgence by defeating fifth seed Ben Shelton 6-4, 6-7(5), 6-3. The Georgian, who has battled injuries and ranking drops in recent years, showed flashes of his former Top 20 self with powerful groundstrokes and tactical variety. Shelton, a breakout star in 2024, will now reassess ahead of the clay-court major.

Sinner Cruises, Italian Flair Shines

On a brighter note for home fans, world No. 1 Jannik Sinner looked imperious in his Rome debut, dispatching Sebastian Ofner 6-3, 6-4. The Italian extended his Masters 1000 winning streak to 29 matches and remains on course for a possible Career Golden Masters. His countrymen also thrived: Flavio Cobolli, Mattia Bellucci, and qualifier Andrea Pellegrino all advanced, with Pellegrino benefiting from Arthur Fils’ retirement due to a hip issue.

Other key results saw Andrey Rublev, Daniil Medvedev (via walkover), Frances Tiafoe, and Brandon Nakashima all move safely through, while seeded casualties included Cameron Norrie, Jakub Mensik, Corentin Moutet, and Tomas Martin Etcheverry.

Broader Implications: A Clay Season in Flux

The Italian Open is traditionally viewed as the final tune-up before the French Open, and this year’s early volatility suggests a wide-open field at Roland Garros. Sabalenka’s physical struggles, combined with a string of early exits from top seeds, indicate that the clay swing is far from settled.

Sabalenka’s Confidence Questioned

The Belarusian’s back issue adds to a growing list of concerns. She has now lost before the quarterfinals in three of her last four tournaments, a startling statistic for a player who dominated the hard-court season. With Iga Swiatek—absent from Rome this year for personal reasons—likely to be fresh, Sabalenka’s path to a fifth Grand Slam title appears more complicated than ever.

Men’s Draw Opens Up

On the men’s side, Sinner remains the overwhelming favorite, but the exits of Auger-Aliassime and Shelton thin the field of potential challengers. The rise of players like Navone and Basilashvili underscores the depth of talent on clay, while home hopes rest on Sinner’s shoulders. The tournament also adds excitement to an already packed sporting calendar, which includes the 2026 World Cup Countdown building momentum ahead of its June kickoff.

Contenders and Question Marks

With several top seeds stumbling, the door is open for veterans like Cirstea—who may be enjoying a career swan song—and dark horses such as Hamad Medjedovic, who outlasted Joao Fonseca in a three-set battle. The tournament’s clay surface continues to reward resilience over raw power, and the remaining rounds promise further surprises.

As play resumes on Sunday, all eyes will be on Sinner’s quest to maintain his unbeaten streak and on whether Sabalenka can recover in time for Paris. For now, Rome has delivered the drama that defines elite clay-court tennis.

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